Economic and Political Relations after the EU Enlargement:
The Visegrad Countries and Russia, Ukraine, Belarus and Moldova

Programme

Thursday, 5 February, 2004

Registration

Opening session

Opening of the conference by the organizers

Mr. Pál Gáspár, Director, ICEG European Center

Mr. János Szita, Chairman of Board of Trustees, Foundation for Research into the World Economy

Mr. Péter Lednitzky ,CEO ITD Hungary

Welcome speeches by:

Mr. György Gilyán, Government Commissioner for Development of the Eastern Markets

Mr. Valerij Muszatov, Ambassador of the Russian Federation

Mr. Jean-Michel Geurts, Advisor, Delegation of the European Commission to Hungary

Plenary session - Macroeconomic prospects

Moderator: Mr. Pál Gáspár , Director, ICEG European Center

Mr. Ben Slay, Director, UNDP, Bratislava

"Scenarios for the Long-Term Development of Polish-Russian Economic Relations"
Mr. Pawel Bozyk, Professor of Economics, Warsaw University, - Director, Institute of International Economic Relations

"The Sunny and Shadow Sides of Russian Economic Recovery"
Mr. Ruslan Grinberg, Director, Institute for International Economic and Political Studies Russian Academy of Sciences

"Russia, EU and EU Eastern Enlargement" (presentation available!)
Mr. Peter Havlik, Deputy Director, WIIW , Vienna

"The Impact of Russian Economy on Finland" (presentation available!)
Mr.Urpo Kivikari, Professor, Business Research and Development Centre, Turku School of Economics and Business Administration

Section 1 - Political Relations and Security Issues

Moderator : Mr. Charles Kovács , Vice Chairman, Committee on Non-Member Economies, OECD

"Common Foreign and Security Policy of the Enlarged EU: What Role for NATO and Russia"
Mr. Alexander Duleba, Director, Research Center of the Slovak Foreign Policy Association

"EU's Eastern Policy: a Visegrad Perspective"
Ms. Anita Orbán , Director, Visegrad Institute

"EU's Eastern Dimension: views from Russia"
Ms. Elena Klitsunova, Program Director,Center for Integration Research & Projects (CIRP) St. Petersburg

"The Czech Republic and Russia - political and security relations" (presentation available!)
Mr. Petr Kratochvíl, Research fellow, Institute of International Relations, Prague

Section 2 - Finance and Foreign Direct Investments

Moderator : Mr.György Z. Szabó , General Secretary, ITD Hungary

"The Euro and EU-Russian Relations" (presentation available!)
Ms. Olga Butorina, Europe Institute

"The Links between FDI in Russia and the Trade Turnover with Russia"
Mr. Sándor Réthi, Director, Floreno Ltd.

"Export Finance" (presentation available!)
Mr. György Rosta , Deputy Director, Eximbank, Hungary

Mr. Hubert Warsman , Equity Central Europe, EBRD

"CentroCredit Bank" (presentation available!)
Mr. Sergey Sorokin, Head of European Division, CentroCredit Bank

Friday, 6 February, 2004

Section 3 - Shadow Economy and Corruption

Moderator : Mr. Alexander Kourylev , Program Officer, Regional Networking Project, Freedom House

"Why is the Shadow Economy so stable in Russia?" (presentation is available!)
Ms. Svetlana Glinkina Deputy Director, Institute for International Economic and Political Studies - Russian Academy of Sciences

"Business and corruption in contemporary Russia: current situation and perspectives"
Mr. Oleg Pachenkov Center for Independent Social Research

"Informality and Self-Government in the Post-Socialist Research Systems" (presentation is available!)
Mr. Pál Tamás, Head of the Institute of Sociology of Hungarian Academy of Sciences

"Nature of Corruption in the Public Procurement Process" (presentation is available!)
Mr. Tamás Benedek, Foundation for Market Economy

Section 4 - Foreign Trade and Sectoral Relations

Moderator :

"Poland's EU Accession:Implications for Polish Trade with the Russian Federation"
Ms. Anna Barbara Kisiel-Lowczyc, University of Gdansk, Foreign Trade Department

"Perspectives for Economic Cooperation Between Russia and the Countries of Central and Eastern Europe in the Light of the Enlargement of the European Union" (presentation is available!)
Mr. András Köves, Kopint -Datorg

"Economic relations between Russia and Hungary:a remarkable turn from decline to steady progress"
Mr. Dimitri Markov , Deputy Head of the Russian Trade Representation in Hungary

"Impact of EU enlargement in 2004 on Ukraine's foreign trade" (presentation is available!)
Ms. Tetyana Shcherbakova , Economist, International Centre for Policy Studies

"?he effect of Russia's WTO accession on trade flows with V4"
Ms. Natalia Tourdyeva , Economist CEFIR, NES

"The consequences of the EU enlargement on the trade relations between the Republic of Belarus and the Visegrad Countries" (presentation is available!)
Mr. Stanislav Vassilevsky , First Secretary of Foreign Economic Activity Coordination Department, Ministry of Foreign Affairs of the Republic of Belarus

Section 5 - Analytical Papers Sponsored by USAID/IRIS

Interim Workshop of the USAID/IRIS Think Tank partnership program between the Tinbergen Institute, NES and ICEG EC.

Moderator: Dr. Lúcio Vinhas de Souza, Coordinator of the Partnership , Kiel Institute for World Economics (IfW), Germany

"A VECM for the Russia Federation"
Bas van Aarle , LICOS, Catholic University of Leuven, Belgium

"A Comparative Overview of Financial Sectors in Russia and Eastern Europe"
Pál Gáspár, ICEG European Center

"Dollarization in Russia"
Nienke Oomes , International Monetary Fund

"Estimated Effects of Russia's WTO Entry"
Natalia Tourdyeva, NES

"Monetary Policy in 'Acceding' Central Europe: A Model for Russia?"
Riecke Werner , National Bank, Hungary

"A Preliminary Estimation of Monetary Policy Rules for Russia"
Lúcio Vinhas de Souza , Kiel Institute for World Economics (IfW), Germany